Match Info

Highland League - Round 21

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Buckie)


	Buckie Thistle		Keith

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.77
	1.56	4.16	4.75	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.23
	1.53	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)	4.08 ↓ (4.32)	4.88 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buckie Thistle
59.1%

Draw
22.3%

Keith
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

21%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

22.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buckie Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buckie Thistle's performance.

Keith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buckie Thistle than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keith than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Buckie Thistle - Keith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buckie won 2.

Buckie is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Keith is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Buckie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Buckie has had a series of away games.

In this match, Buckie is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Buckie won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 2.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Buckie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buckie Thistle
Scottish Highland League
13.12.25	Lossiemouth - Buckie Thistle	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Annan Athletic - Buckie Thistle	4:0 ✺
Scottish Highland League
22.11.25	Nairn County - Buckie Thistle	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Inverurie Loco Works - Buckie Thistle	2:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
24.10.25	Formartine United - Buckie Thistle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWWW
- Keith
Scottish Highland League
13.12.25	Keith - Banks O Dee	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Keith - Deveronvale	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Brechin City - Keith	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Keith - Rothes	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Lossiemouth - Keith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Highland League
16.11.24	Keith - Buckie Thistle	3:1
29.12.18	Keith - Buckie Thistle	0:0
18.08.18	Buckie Thistle - Keith	1:2
16.12.17	Buckie Thistle - Keith	4:1
26.08.17	Keith - Buckie Thistle	2:5
01.04.17	Buckie Thistle - Keith	6:0

Buckie Thistle - Keith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide