Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arok utcai palya (BSC - Budaors) (Budaörs) 🌤️ ...


	Budaörsi SC		Paks II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.70	2.45
	2.16	3.50	2.63
	2.29	3.96	2.48	Watch
	2.30	3.90	2.45
	2.30	4.30	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)	3.87 ↑ (3.4)	2.48 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budaörsi SC
40.1%

Draw
23.4%

Paks II
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

23.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budaörsi SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Paks II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paks II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budaörsi SC than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paks II than the current prediction. (-3%)

Budaörsi SC - Paks II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th and 13th).

Budaörsi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paks II is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Budaörsi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Budaorsi SC	12	3	3	6	17:36	-19	12
13	Paks II	12	2	4	6	26:24	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budaörsi SC
Hungarian NB III Southwest
19.09.26	Budaörsi SC - Szekszárd	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Siofok - Budaörsi SC	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Budaörsi SC - Budafoki	1:3 ✺
26.08.26	PTE-PEAC - Budaörsi SC	6:1 ✺
15.08.26	Budaörsi SC - MTK Budapest II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLW
- Paks II
Hungarian NB III Southwest
03.10.26	Paks II - Szekszárd	8:1 ✺
27.09.26	Siofok - Paks II	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Paks II - Budafoki	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	PTE-PEAC - Paks II	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Paks II - MTK Budapest II	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTL

Budaörsi SC - Paks II