Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Promontor utcai Stadion (Budapest)


	Budafoki		Dunaharaszti MTK

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.60	8.50
	1.26	5.25	7.50
	1.28	5.1	8.6	Watch
	1.27	5.10	9.00
	1.32	5.20	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.55)	5.05 ↑ (3.8)	8.28 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budafoki
71%

Draw
18%

Dunaharaszti MTK
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

23.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budafoki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Budafoki's performance.

Dunaharaszti MTK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunaharaszti MTK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budafoki than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Budafoki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunaharaszti MTK than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunaharaszti MTK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Budafoki - Dunaharaszti MTK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd and 12th).

Budafoki is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Dunaharaszti is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Dunaharaszti may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dunaharaszti has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Budafoki holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Budafoki	9	5	1	3	17:12	5	16
9	Dunaharaszti MTK	10	4	2	4	17:19	-2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budafoki MTE
Hungarian NB III Southwest
19.09.26	Paks II - Budafoki	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Budaörsi SC - Budafoki	1:3 ✺
26.08.26	Budafoki - Szekszárd	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Siofok - Budafoki	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Budafoki - PTE-PEAC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWTW
- Dunaharaszti MTK
Hungarian NB III Southwest
19.09.26	Dunaharaszti MTK - PTE-PEAC	1:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
13.09.26	Dunaharaszti MTK - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:5 ✺
Hungarian NB III Southwest
06.09.26	MTK Budapest II - Dunaharaszti MTK	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Dunaharaszti MTK - Kaposvari Rakoczi	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Dunaharaszti MTK - Érdi VSE	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLT

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