Match Info

NB II. - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Budafoki		Kozármisleny

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.15	2.98
	2.15	3.23	3.22
	2.24	3.27	3.09	Watch
	2.21	3.57	3.02
	2.27	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.7)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	3 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budafoki
41.7%

Draw
27.6%

Kozármisleny
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budafoki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Budafoki's performance.

Kozármisleny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kozármisleny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budafoki than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Budafoki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozármisleny than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kozármisleny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Budafoki - Kozármisleny Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Budafoki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Harsfalvi A. (G) 11. Bukta C. 37. Fekete M. 97. Hajdu R. 26. Jagodics M. (C) 4. Lapu A. 30. Posztobanyi P. 20. Reho B. 96. Stumpf G. 21. Varga B. 9. Vasvari Z.	66. Lekai S. (G) 9. Babinszky B. 10. Bako S. 17. Biro M. 55. Horvath D. 24. Kocsis D. 22. Kozics B. 8. Mate C. 23. Szalka D. 77. Turi T. 81. Vajda R.
Substitutes
1. Ecseri M. (G) 98. Gyurko M. 19. Herczeg B. 3. Horgosi D. 29. Horvath A. (G) 10. Kovacs D. 14. Kun B. 6. Nandori B. 8. Nemeth M. 7. Rozsa S. 27. Szoke A.	16. Bodrogi B. 20. Dora D. 7. Gazdag V. 3. Harsanyi D. 32. Jelena R. 19. Kocs-Washburn E. 13. Lengyel N. 21. Nagirnyi A. 1. Oroszi I. (G) 29. Sebestyen M. 70. Zamostny B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Babinszky B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Reho B. ↓, Rozsa S. ↑,
46', Varga B. ↓, Nemeth M. ↑,
46', Kocsis D. ↓, Dora D. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Vasvari Z. ⚽,
56', Posztobanyi P. 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Bako S. ⚽,
71', Posztobanyi P. ↓, Kovacs D. ↑,
74', Szalka D. ↓, Nagirnyi A. ↑,
74', Mate C. ↓, Sebestyen M. ↑,
79', Kovacs D. 🟨,
83', Vasvari Z. ↓, Gyurko M. ↑,
90+1', Babinszky B. ↓, Zamostny B. ↑,
90+1', Bako S. ↓, Lengyel N. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Bukta C. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Budafoki won 0.

Budafoki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kozármisleny has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kozármisleny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Budafoki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Budafoki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Budafoki - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.98%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Kozármisleny - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budafoki MTE
Hungarian NB II
28.09.25	Tiszakécske - Budafoki	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Budafoki - Karcag	0:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
13.09.25	Eger - Budafoki	0:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
31.08.25	Békéscsaba 1912 - Budafoki	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Budafoki - Kecskemeti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTWLW
- Kozármisleny
Hungarian NB II
28.09.25	Kozármisleny - Videoton	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	BVSC-Zugló - Kozármisleny	0:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
13.09.25	Nagykanizsa - Kozármisleny	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
31.08.25	Kozármisleny - Vasas	0:4 ✺
24.08.25	Szeged 2011 - Kozármisleny	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
16.03.25	Kozármisleny - Budafoki	2:0
01.09.24	Budafoki - Kozármisleny	1:1
03.03.24	Kozármisleny - Budafoki	2:0
27.08.23	Budafoki - Kozármisleny	1:2
09.04.23	Kozármisleny - Budafoki	2:0
09.10.22	Budafoki - Kozármisleny	3:0

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