Match Info

HUNGARY: Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 20

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Promontor utcai Stadion (Budapest)


	Budafoki		Tatabánya

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.81	3.6	3.7
	2	3.63	3.35
	2	3.61	3.46
	1.98	3.34	3.4
	1.81	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.65)	3.56 ↑ (3.49)	3.5 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budafoki
48.2%

Draw
25.7%

Tatabánya
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

17.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budafoki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Budafoki's form might have worsened.

Tatabánya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tatabánya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budafoki than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Budafoki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatabánya than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Budafoki - Tatabánya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duzs G. (G) 37. Fekete M. 33. Kalmar O. 10. Kovacs D. 48. Kun B. 15. Nemeth M. 5. Olah B. 8. Retyi R. 18. Sztojka D. 21. Szucs P. 13. Vasvari Z.	16. Loth P. (G) 3. Arvai D. 48. Csernik K. 6. Derekas Z. 30. Deutsch B. 66. Eordogh A. 33. Harsanyi D. 26. Jagodics M. 11. Katona K. 7. Kiprich D. 10. Szegleti G.
Substitutes
30. Ecseri M. (G) 9. Elek B. 14. Horgosi D. 29. Horvath A. (G) 26. Lorentz M. 77. Merenyi A. 20. Reho B. B. 23. Szabo B. 17. Szereto K. 72. Toth G.	42. Bese B. (G) 19. Buna G. 23. Forro G. 32. Jelena R. 22. Kulcsar M. 28. Lapu A. 21. Letenyei Z. 14. Ovari Z. 8. Soltesz B. 75. Varga D. 17. Vass P. 77. Vida K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Nemeth M. (Own goal),
35', Csernik K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Kovacs D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Szegleti G. ↓, Soltesz B. ↑,
60', Kiprich D. ↓, Letenyei Z. ↑,
65', Szucs P. ↓, Reho B. B. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Derekas Z. ⚽,
78', Nemeth M. ↓, Merenyi A. ↑,
78', Retyi R. ↓, Elek B. ↑,
88', Arvai D. ↓, Lapu A. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Lapu A. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Kovacs D. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Budafoki is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tatabánya is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Budafoki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Budafoki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budafoki MTE
Hungarian NB II
02.03.25	Kazincbarcikai - Budafoki	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Vasas - Budafoki	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Budafoki - Kisvárda	2:4 ✺
09.02.25	Budapest Honved - Budafoki	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.25	Budafoki - Kazincbarcikai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW
- FC Tatabánya
Hungarian NB II
02.03.25	Tatabánya - Vasas	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Kisvárda - Tatabánya	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Tatabánya - Budapest Honved	1:4 ✺
09.02.25	Szeged 2011 - Tatabánya	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Győri ETO - Tatabánya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
25.08.24	Tatabánya - Budafoki	1:2

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