Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Budapest Honved		Mosonmagyaróvár

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.5
	1.52	4.19	6.22
	1.47	4.15	6.25
	1.47	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	4.06 ↓ (4.5)	5.99 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budapest Honved
62.1%

Draw
22.6%

Mosonmagyaróvár
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

21.1%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

14%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budapest Honved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Budapest Honved's form might have worsened.

Mosonmagyaróvár has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Budapest Honved that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosonmagyaróvár than the current prediction. (+2%)

Budapest Honved - Mosonmagyaróvár Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duzs G. (G) 8. Adorjan K. 44. Benczenleitner B. 9. Bobal G. 20. Holman D. (C) 11. Kerezsi Z. 76. Kocsis D. 14. Kovacs N. 18. Lorinczy A. 99. Pekar I. 4. Szabo A.	13. Heinrich M. (G) 55. Deak S. 11. Horvath K. 17. Illes D. 10. Pukhtyeyev M. 2. Simita G. 8. Szabo B. 9. Takacs T. 5. Tullner P. 22. Vegso E. 14. Vukasovic M.
Substitutes
7. Bocskay B. 90. Gyetvan M. (G) 21. Haragos V. 22. Keresztes N. 55. Kocsis G. 17. Krajcsovics A. 65. Kundrak N. 30. Nyitrai B. 83. Tujvel T. (G)	29. Deakovits R. 23. Gancs B. 42. Papp L. 24. Papp S. 15. Slakta B. (G) 19. Szalka D. 79. Szendeff B. 49. Tifan-Peter B.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Honved is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mosonmagyaróvár has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Honved is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB II
01.10.23	Szeged 2011 - Budapest Honved	1:0 ✺
28.09.23	Budapest Honved - Budafoki	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Soroksár - Budapest Honved	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Budapest Honved - Győri ETO	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Budapest Honved - Szombathelyi Haladas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTWL
- Mosonmagyaróvári TE
Hungarian NB II
01.10.23	Mosonmagyaróvár - Tiszakécske	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Mosonmagyaróvár	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Mosonmagyaróvár - Kozármisleny	1:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
16.09.23	Mosonmagyaróvár - Puskás Academy	0:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
03.09.23	Csákvári - Mosonmagyaróvár	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL

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