The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Budissa Bautzen 12.6%
Draw 18.3%
Plauen 69.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.8%
20.1%
64.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.8%
20%
64.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Budissa Bautzen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Plauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budissa Bautzen than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Kind T. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Hagemann T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 2, Martynets J. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Hagemann T. ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Nordost).
Bautzen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Plauen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Plauen is indisputable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bautzen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Bautzen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.