Match Info

Premier League

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Bugesera		Rutsiro

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.92	3.85
	2.01	2.98	3.93	Watch
	1.99	3.06	3.98	Watch
	2	2.9	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.07)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	3.89 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bugesera
45.8%

Draw
30.8%

Rutsiro
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

31.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

31.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Rutsiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rutsiro than the current prediction. (+1%)

Bugesera - Rutsiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Rutsiro has had a series of away games.

Bugesera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bugesera FC
Rwanda Premier League
09.11.25	Kiyovu Sports - Bugesera	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Gorilla - Bugesera	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Bugesera - Muhanga	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Bugesera - Gasogi United	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Musanze - Bugesera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTT
- Rutsiro FC
Rwanda Premier League
08.11.25	Etincelles - Rutsiro	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Rutsiro - APR	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Musanze - Rutsiro	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Rayon Sports - Rutsiro	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Marines - Rutsiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
20.04.25	Rutsiro - Bugesera	4:2
15.09.24	Bugesera - Rutsiro	2:3
17.02.23	Bugesera - Rutsiro	3:0
21.12.22	Rutsiro - Bugesera	2:1
12.03.22	Rutsiro - Bugesera	1:1
01.12.21	Bugesera - Rutsiro	0:0
13.06.21	Rutsiro - Bugesera	0:0

Bugesera - Rutsiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide