Match Info

Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Burgan		Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.67	3.14	2.53	Watch
	2.63	3.06	2.48
	2.8	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)	3.11 ↓ (3.12)	2.42 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgan
33.7%

Draw
29%

Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi than the current prediction. (-3%)

Burgan - Al Shabab Al Ahmadi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgan won 0.

Recent matches Burgan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Shabab is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Shabab could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Burgan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Burgan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgan SC
Kuwaiti Division 1
15.04.25	Burgan - Al Jahra	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Al Salibikhaet - Burgan	1:1 ✺
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
07.03.25	Burgan - Al Salmiya	1:4 ET ✺
Kuwaiti Division 1
27.02.25	Burgan - Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi - Burgan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLTT
- Al-Shabab SC Al Ahmadi
Kuwaiti Division 1
15.04.25	Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi - Al Salibikhaet	2:2 ✺
Kuwaiti Emir Cup
11.04.25	Khaitan - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	2:1 ✺
Kuwaiti Division 1
06.04.25	Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi - Al Sahel	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Al Jahra - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	2:1 ✺
Kuwaiti Crown Prince Cup
08.03.25	Al-Fahaheel - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kuwaiti Division 1
23.02.25	Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi - Burgan	0:0
23.01.25	Burgan - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	0:2
11.04.23	Burgan - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	1:2
04.11.22	Burgan - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	1:3
28.08.22	Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi - Burgan	0:0
Kuwaiti Premier League
13.12.20	Burgan - Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi	0:1
Kuwaiti Emir Cup
06.04.19	Al-Shabab Al Ahmadi - Burgan	1:3 ET

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