Match Info

ENGLAND: Professional Development League

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Burnley U21		Crewe Alexandra U21

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.5	6.75
	1.3	6.39	6.1
	1.32	6.31	6.67	Watch
	1.31	5.8	6.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 (1.31)	6 ↓ (6.01)	6.41 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley U21
70.4%

Draw
15.3%

Crewe Alexandra U21
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

15.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

14.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Crewe Alexandra U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra U21 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Burnley U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Veevers C. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Ryan K. ⚽,
23', 3 - 0, Ryan K. ⚽,
25', 3 - 1, Agius C. ⚽,
39', Collins J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', Masara V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 9).

Recent matches Burnley U21 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crewe U21 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Burnley U21 is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Burnley U21 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley U21
English Professional Development League
17.09.24	Burnley U21 - Queens Park Rangers U21	6:0 ✺
10.09.24	Bristol City U21 - Burnley U21	1:3 ✺
01.09.24	Burnley U21 - Charlton Athletic U21	0:4 ✺
27.08.24	Bournemouth U21 - Burnley U21	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Burnley U21 - Ipswich Town U21	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLT
- Crewe Alexandra U21
English Professional Development League
16.09.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Watford U21	3:0 ✺
10.09.24	Charlton Athletic U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Ipswich Town U21	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Bristol City U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Queens Park Rangers U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
29.03.24	Burnley U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	1:3
18.03.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Burnley U21	2:4
24.01.23	Burnley U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	3:4
26.09.22	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Burnley U21	0:0

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