Match Info

TURKEY: 3. LIG GROUP 4 - ROUND 22

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bursa Yıldırımspor		Kestelspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.26	3	2.76
	2.29	3.05	3.01
	2.15	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.93)	3.06 ↓ (3.18)	3.04 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursa Yıldırımspor
40.8%

Draw
29.5%

Kestelspor
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.9%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursa Yıldırımspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bursa Yıldırımspor's form might have worsened.

Kestelspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kestelspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursa Yıldırımspor than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bursa Yıldırımspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kestelspor than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kestelspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bursa Yıldırımspor - Kestelspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ TFF 3. Lig Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ TFF 3. Lig Play Offs).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Bursa Yıldırımspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bursa Yıldırımspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursa Yıldırımspor Old
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
25.02.24	Muş Spor - Bursa Yıldırımspor	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Bursa Yıldırımspor - 23 Elazığ	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Nevşehir Belediyespor - Bursa Yıldırımspor	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Bursa Yıldırımspor - Çatalcaspor	6:1 ✺
21.01.24	Balikesirspor - Bursa Yıldırımspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWL
- Kestelspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
25.02.24	Kestelspor - Balikesirspor	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Bergama - Kestelspor	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Adana 1954 - Kestelspor	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Kestelspor - Sebat Gençlik	4:2 ✺
21.01.24	Çankaya - Kestelspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
22.10.23	Kestelspor - Bursa Yıldırımspor	2:1
Turkish Cup
29.09.21	Kestelspor - Bursa Yıldırımspor	2:0

Bursa Yıldırımspor - Kestelspor

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Bursa Yıldırımspor - Kestelspor Predictions

Preview

Form

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