Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Timsah Arena (Bursa)


	Bursaspor		Aksaray Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.65	7.7
	1.27	5.05	8.92
	1.29	4.98	8.8	Watch
	1.29	4.5	8.5
	1.27	4.9	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	4.82 ↑ (4.24)	8.6 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
70.7%

Draw
18.8%

Aksaray Belediyespor
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20.9%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

19.5%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Aksaray Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+2%)

Bursaspor - Aksaray Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Furat E. I. ⚽, Akbunar H. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Furat E. I. ⚽, Akbunar H. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Depe I. ⚽, Gultekin E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 4 - 0, Furat E. I. ⚽, Aydogdu S. (A),
79', 5 - 0, Akcan E. ⚽, Furat E. I. (A),
90', 6 - 0, Furat E. I. ⚽,

Preview

Bursaspor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aksaray Belediyespor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Bursaspor is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Bursaspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bursaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.02.26	Menemenspor - Bursaspor	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Bursaspor - Kırklarelispor	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Isparta 32 Spor - Bursaspor	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Arnavutköy - Bursaspor	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bursaspor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWW
- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.02.26	Muş Spor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Aksaray Belediyespor - Menemenspor	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Kırklarelispor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Aksaray Belediyespor - Isparta 32 Spor	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Adanaspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
19.10.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Bursaspor	1:2

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