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Current Win Probability
Bursaspor 51.2%
Draw 25.5%
Aliaga 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
30.5%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
30.6%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bursaspor's performance.
Aliaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aliaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aliaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bursaspor - Aliaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).
Bursaspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aliaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bursaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bursaspor is considered a favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
Watch
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