Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Bursaspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.98
	3.05	3.3	2.1
	3.05	3.45	2.03
	3.21	3.49	2.24
	3.2	3.3	2.05
	3.24	3.64	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
28.9%

Draw
26.4%

Ankaragücü
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.6%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

20.3%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Ankaragücü have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankaragücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bursaspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs)).

Bursaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ankaragücü is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ankaragücü will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bursaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
19.09.21	Tuzlaspor - Bursaspor	0:0 ✺
15.09.21	Bursaspor - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
12.09.21	Altınordu - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Bursaspor - Eyüpspor	0:2 ✺
23.08.21	Erzurumspor - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLLL
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
20.09.21	Ankaragücü - Menemenspor	2:2 ✺
16.09.21	İstanbulspor - Ankaragücü	0:1 ✺
12.09.21	Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği	2:0 ✺
29.08.21	Denizlispor - Ankaragücü	0:3 ✺
22.08.21	Ankaragücü - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.03.19	Ankaragücü - Bursaspor	0:0
06.10.18	Bursaspor - Ankaragücü	1:0
Club Friendly
04.08.18	Bursaspor - Ankaragücü	0:2
Turkish Super League
17.03.12	Bursaspor - Ankaragücü	2:1

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