Match Info

K League 2 - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Suwon

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.58	3.3	2.52
	2.64	3.58	2.64
	2.58	3.67	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.53	3.35	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.65)	3.4 ↓ (3.51)	2.49 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
36%

Draw
27.1%

Suwon
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.6%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Busan I Park - Suwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 5. Woo Ju-Seong 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 66. Kim Se-Hoon 97. Son J. 6. Lee Dong-Su 88. Park Hye-seong 7. Xavier 99. Cristian Renato	21. Yang Han-Been (G) 27. Lee S. 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 3. Derlan 6. Kim Ji-hun 8. Han Chan-Hee (C) 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 29. Choi Gi-Yun 10. Matheus Frizzo 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 99. Ha Jeong-woo
Substitutes
18. Baek Ga-On 44. Choi Dong-ryeol 10. Gabriel Honorio 80. Gutemberg 21. Kim Dong-Wook 13. Kim Hyun-Min 4. Kim J. 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 34. Park Ji-Min (G)	17. Andersen M. 77. Baek Kyeong 25. Jang Young-Woo 13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 16. Jo Jin-Woo 70. Jung Seung-Bae 40. Kim Min-ho 7. Lee Jae-Won 44. Willyan
Coaches
Cho S.	Park Kun-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Xavier ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Kim Se-Hoon ⚽, Xavier (A),
40', Son J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Matheus Frizzo (Penalty Awarded),
54', Park Hye-seong ↓, Gabriel Honorio ↑,
54', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Gutemberg ↑,
61', Xavier 🟨,
66', Kim Jeong-Hwan ↓, Willyan ↑,
66', Kim Ji-hun ↓, Jang Young-Woo ↑,
69', Xavier ↓, Kim Min-Hyeok ↑,
69', Son J. ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
77', Cristian Renato 🟨,
79', Choi Gi-Yun ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
87', Cristian Renato ↓, Kim J. ↑,
89', Ha Jeong-woo ↓, Baek Kyeong ↑,
89', Goo Bon-Cheul ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
90+3', Koo Sang-Min 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 4.

Busan I Park is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Suwon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50:29	21	48
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.25%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
11.04.26	Busan I Park - Yongin	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Cheongju - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Busan I Park - Daegu	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Seoul E-Land - Busan I Park	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWW
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
11.04.26	Suwon - Daegu	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Seoul E-Land - Suwon	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Suwon - Paju Frontier	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Gimhae - Suwon	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Suwon - Yongin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
09.12.23	Suwon - Busan I Park	5:2 ET
06.12.23	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:1
South Korean Cup
15.07.20	Suwon - Busan I Park	0:1
South Korean K-League 2
05.10.19	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:0
13.07.19	Suwon - Busan I Park	0:1
01.06.19	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:2
08.03.19	Suwon - Busan I Park	1:2

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