Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Busko-Zdrój		Moravia Morawica

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.41	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 (1.97)	3.41 (3.41)	3.04 (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 13%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busko-Zdrój
44.9%

Draw
26%

Moravia Morawica
29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Busko-Zdrój have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Moravia Morawica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busko-Zdrój than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moravia Morawica than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 17th in the Relegation).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Recently, Busko-Zdrój has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Busko-Zdrój holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17:21	-4	14
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13:22	-9	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wiślanie Skawina	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Star Starachowice - Busko-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLTL
- Moravia Morawica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.09.26	Moravia Morawica - Czarni Połaniec	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Hetman Zamość - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Moravia Morawica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Moravia Morawica	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

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