Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Buxoro		Qizilqum

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.92	3.45
	2.12	3.09	3.7
	2.14	3.01	3.47	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.5
	2.09	3.13	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	3.53 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxoro
43.5%

Draw
30.6%

Qizilqum
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

30.1%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

29.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Qizilqum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Buxoro - Qizilqum Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Buxoro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Qizilqum will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Khamroev U. (G) 25. Esanov S. 2. Filipovic V. 97. Jurabekov S. 6. Khayrullaev R. 11. Mamasidikov T. 30. Mladjovic B. 7. Mukhtorov K. 78. Rodic V. 17. Ruziev J. 10. Ubaydullaev S.	34. Chabradze G. 31. Jigauri J. 15. Kumburovic N. 70. Norkhonov S. 1. Rahmatov S. 79. Rakhmatilloev D. 8. Rakhmatullaev S. 11. Shchebetun O. 23. Shukurillaev S. 14. Shukurov A. 4. Vakhobov I.
Substitutes
1. Abdullaev S. (G) 4. Ahmadjonov N. 88. Begic D. 22. Joraboev A. 8. Juraev A. 9. Kacharava N. 77. Kayumov A. 5. Kulmatov S. 42. Todorov K.	20. Bozorov B. 21. Ibrakhimov M. 7. Jumankuziev F. 19. Kenzhaev I. 30. Muydinov O. 17. Muzaffarov A. 44. Rizakulov G. 99. Sayyotov K. (G) 9. Turopov S.
Coaches
Khomyakov A.	Rustamov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Ruziev J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shukurov A. ↓, Turopov S. ↑,
47', Ruziev J. 🟨,
51', Rodic V. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Rodic V. ⚽,
61', Ruziev J. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
61', Rodic V. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
65', Turopov S. 🟨,
67', Rakhmatullaev S. ↓, Jumankuziev F. ↑,
75', Vakhobov I. ↓, Rizakulov G. ↑,
80', Jurabekov S. ↓, Todorov K. ↑,
80', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
84', Jigauri J. ↓, Muzaffarov A. ↑,
84', Norkhonov S. ↓, Ibrakhimov M. ↑,
86', Esanov S. ↓, Joraboev A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 2.

Buxoro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Qizilqum has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Buxoro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Buxoro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32:29	3	34
10	Qizilqum	22	9	2	11	23:30	-7	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
04.04.26	Surkhon Termez - Buxoro	3:1 ✺
19.03.26	Buxoro - Dinamo Samarqand	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	Buxoro - Xorazm Urganch	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Navbahor Namangan - Buxoro	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Buxoro - Kokand 1912	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTWW
- Qizilqum PFK
Uzbek League
04.04.26	Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona	0:4 ✺
18.03.26	Qizilqum - AGMK	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Mashal Mubarek - Qizilqum	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Qizilqum - Andijan	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Pakhtakor - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
08.08.25	Qizilqum - Buxoro	1:0
14.03.25	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0
05.08.23	Buxoro - Qizilqum	1:0
19.11.20	Buxoro - Qizilqum	1:1
18.08.20	Qizilqum - Buxoro	1:0
23.11.19	Qizilqum - Buxoro	1:1
29.07.18	Qizilqum - Buxoro	0:0

Buxoro - Qizilqum: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide