Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRALIGA WOMEN - ROUND 18

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bydgoszcz		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.47
	5.5	4.3	1.45
	5.44	4.32	1.51
	5.5	4.3	1.49
	5.4	4.3	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (3)	4.28 ↑ (4.25)	1.48 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bydgoszcz
16.9%

Draw
21.3%

Pogoń Szczecin
61.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

21.8%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

21.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bydgoszcz's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bydgoszcz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Bydgoszcz has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pogoń Szczecin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bydgoszcz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pogoń Szczecin is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bydgoszcz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKP Bydgoszcz
Polish Ekstraliga Women
16.04.23	GKS Katowice - Bydgoszcz	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Bydgoszcz - AZS UJ Kraków	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Medyk Konin - Bydgoszcz	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Bydgoszcz - Śląsk Wrocław	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	UKS SMS Łódź - Bydgoszcz	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- Pogoń Szczecin Women
Polish Cup Women
19.04.23	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Szczecin	1:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraliga Women
15.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - AP Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup Women
22.03.23	Pogoń Tczew - Pogoń Szczecin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup Women
26.11.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Bydgoszcz	1:0
Polish Ekstraliga Women
15.10.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Bydgoszcz	5:0

Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Szczecin