Match Info

NM Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Bærum		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	4.33	5.25	1.44
	4.75	4.10	1.51
	5.4	4.15	1.45
	3.84	4.29	1.58
	4.11	4.58	1.58	Watch
	3.85	4.3	1.57
	5.21	4.4	1.47
	4.6	4.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↓ (6.22)	4.46 ↓ (5.65)	1.51 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
20%

Draw
20.2%

Mjøndalen
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

16.1%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

15.4%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bærum's performance.

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mjøndalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bærum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mjøndalen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bærum - Mjøndalen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Bærum (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bærum (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Bransdal L. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Kaba V. C. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Coric K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', (Penalty Awarded),
54', 4 - 0, Kaba V. C. ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Mjøndalen is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Bærum won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
15.08.26	Grei - Bærum	1:7 ✺
10.08.26	Bærum - KFUM 2	5:1 ✺
01.08.26	Heming - Bærum	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Bærum - Vålerenga 2	6:3 ✺
27.06.26	Frigg Oslo - Bærum	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWT
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.08.26	Mjøndalen - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kvik Halden - Mjøndalen	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Mjøndalen - Notodden	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Brattvåg - Mjøndalen	3:5 ✺
27.06.26	Mjøndalen - Bjarg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.11.14	Mjøndalen - Bærum	4:1 ET
02.11.14	Mjøndalen - Bærum	1:1
22.06.14	Bærum - Mjøndalen	1:3

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