Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Bærum		Strømmen

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.66	5.13	3.95
	1.61	5.13	3.95
	1.55	4.33	3.9
	1.55	4.33	4.45
	1.67	4.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)	4.5 ↑ (4)	4.05 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
57.1%

Draw
20.3%

Strømmen
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

22.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

23.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bærum's performance.

Strømmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strømmen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bærum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømmen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strømmen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bærum - Strømmen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Skrefsrud J. (G) 14. Arvesen C. S. 9. Augdal M. 7. Bransdale L. 4. Dacic A. 23. Hagen M. 19. Haugen K. 3. Johansen A. 17. Myrmo M. 20. Sorensen K. 2. Vogt P.	1. Twizere C. (G) 25. Aronsen S. 14. Bergum M. 21. Getz K. 2. Gjelsvik S. 7. Myhre T. (C) 8. Naustdal B. 4. Rindal S. 15. Skille J. 20. Tongnoy A. 16. Werni S.
Substitutes
5. Frobenius A. 6. Hauger H. 22. Holter J. 8. Khachatrjan E. 10. Lovseth R. S. 11. Odegaard Aasen M. 30. Ostvold J. 15. Oya J. 1. Reinertsen N. (G)	10. Achrifi M. 17. Baekken M. 24. Bergersen V. 12. Christensen K. A. (G) 3. Crestani C. 30. Kollstrom M. (G) 19. Seferi U. 6. Solberg N.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bærum won 1.

Bærum is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Strømmen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bærum is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bærum won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Bærum won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
04.11.23	Gjøvik-Lyn - Bærum	4:2 ✺
28.10.23	Bærum - Stjørdals-Blink	0:3 ✺
21.10.23	Tromsdalen - Bærum	0:0 ✺
09.10.23	Bærum - Strømsgodset 2	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	Junkeren - Bærum	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTWL
- Strømmen IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
04.11.23	Strømmen - Junkeren	3:0 ✺
30.10.23	Brann 2 - Strømmen	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Strømmen - Levanger	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Ullern - Strømmen	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Strømmen - Ullensaker Kisa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
29.04.23	Strømmen - Bærum	3:2
Club Friendly
10.03.23	Bærum - Strømmen	1:2
31.01.20	Strømmen - Bærum	3:2
Norwegian NM Cup
02.05.18	Strømmen - Bærum	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.08.15	Bærum - Strømmen	0:1
19.04.15	Strømmen - Bærum	3:1
La Manga Cup
09.03.15	Strømmen - Bærum	0:1

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