Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 26

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Błonianka Błonie		Legia II

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.1	1.46
	5.15	3.75	1.52
	4.97	3.74	1.52
	6.05	4.5	1.43	Watch
	6.4	3.85	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.56 ↑ (3.15)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)	1.47 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błonianka Błonie
16.2%

Draw
22.6%

Legia II
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

25.6%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błonianka Błonie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Błonianka Błonie's form might have worsened.

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błonianka Błonie than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Błonianka Błonie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Błonianka Błonie - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).

Recent matches Błonianka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legia II is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Legia II is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Błonianka won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Błonianka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błonianka Błonie
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.04.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Błonianka Błonie	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Błonianka Błonie - Mławianka Mława	1:4 ✺
08.04.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Błonianka Błonie	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Błonianka Błonie - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
29.03.23	Concordia Elbląg - Błonianka Błonie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WLLWT
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.04.23	Legia II - Mławianka Mława	4:1 ✺
15.04.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Legia II	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Legia II - Broń Radom	5:2 ✺
01.04.23	Ursus Warszawa - Legia II	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Legia II - Sokół Ostróda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.09.22	Legia II - Błonianka Błonie	6:2
11.05.22	Błonianka Błonie - Legia II	3:3
09.10.21	Legia II - Błonianka Błonie	6:2
13.09.20	Legia II - Błonianka Błonie	1:1

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