Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Céltiga		Estradense

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.10	1.95
	3.5	3.15	1.95
	3.6	3.21	1.93
	3.6	3.33	1.96	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.89
	3.62	3.24	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.94)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	1.93 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Céltiga
25.3%

Draw
28.2%

Estradense
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Céltiga's form might have worsened.

Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estradense's recent form is better than expected.

Céltiga - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Estradense holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Céltiga has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Céltiga against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Estradense	5	2	1	2	8:9	-1	7
12	Celtiga	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Estradense - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.09.26	Céltiga - Boiro	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Silva SD - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Arosa - Céltiga	3:2 ✺
01.05.26	Céltiga - Atlético Arteixo	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Céltiga - RC Villalbes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.09.26	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Estradense - Sarriana	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.08.26	Compostela - Estradense	2:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.05.26	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	2:2 ET ✺
16.05.26	Estradense - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.02.26	Céltiga - Estradense	2:1
21.09.25	Estradense - Céltiga	2:1

Céltiga - Estradense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide