Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Céltiga		Silva SD

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.45
	1.04	12.07	24.93	Watch
	1.81	3.46	3.86
	1.59	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	5.65 ↑ (3.6)	9.36 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Céltiga
69.1%

Draw
19.3%

Silva SD
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

19.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Céltiga's performance.

Silva SD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Silva SD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Céltiga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silva SD than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Silva SD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Céltiga - Silva SD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟥,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Céltiga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Silva SD is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Céltiga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Céltiga is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Céltiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Céltiga - Viveiro	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Juventud Cambados - Céltiga	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Céltiga - Boiro	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Barco - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Estradense - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Silva SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Silva SD - Juventud Cambados	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Boiro - Silva SD	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Silva SD - Barco	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Compostela - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Silva SD - Estradense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
13.01.19	Silva SD - Céltiga	3:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.02.18	Silva SD - Céltiga	2:0

Céltiga - Silva SD: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide