Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 12

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	CA Juventus U20		Ponte Preta U20

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.30	4.00
	2.00	3.25	3.20
	1.76	3.33	3.89
	1.82	3.46	3.95	Watch
	1.72	3.25	3.8
	1.82	3.35	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.15)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	3.8 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CA Juventus U20
49.4%

Draw
27%

Ponte Preta U20
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CA Juventus U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CA Juventus U20's performance.

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CA Juventus U20 than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CA Juventus U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CA Juventus U20 - Ponte Preta U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, ⚽,
10', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 4 - 0, ⚽,
74', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In recent matches, CA Juventus U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ponte Preta U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ponte Preta U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

CA Juventus U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CA Juventus U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Juventus U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
06.08.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - CA Juventus U20	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	CA Juventus U20 - Santos U20	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - CA Juventus U20	2:3 ✺
16.07.26	CA Juventus U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:1 ✺
10.07.26	CA Juventus U20 - São Bento U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTW
- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
07.08.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Ponte Preta U20 - União Suzano U20	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Corinthians U20 - Ponte Preta U20	7:1 ✺
10.07.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Ferroviaria U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
17.05.25	Ponte Preta U20 - CA Juventus U20	0:1

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