Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	CD Guadalajara		Villacañas

	1	X	2
	1.43	4	6
	1.45	3.6	5.3
	1.41	3.9	6.2
	1.38	4.15	6.73
	1.51	3.7	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	3.87 ↑ (3.77)	6.12 ↑ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
62.3%

Draw
23.1%

Villacañas
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

13.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Villacañas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-26.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villacañas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CD Guadalajara - Villacañas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14).

Guadalajara is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villacañas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guadalajara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Guadalajara have a series of guest games.

In this match Guadalajara is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.02.22	Manchego - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Conquense - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
30.01.22	Almansa - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	CD Guadalajara - Hogar Alcarreño	5:1 ✺
16.01.22	Torrijos - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTWT
- CD Villacañas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.02.22	Villacañas - Manchego	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Villacañas - Villarrubia	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Illescas - Villacañas	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Conquense - Villacañas	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Villacañas - Almansa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.10.21	Villacañas - CD Guadalajara	1:0
17.10.20	Villacañas - CD Guadalajara	1:1
04.01.20	Villacañas - CD Guadalajara	1:0

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