Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 5

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	CE Europa		Penya Independent

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.87	3.4	4	Watch
	1.83	3.29	4.3
	1.79	3.32	4.15
	1.91	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	3.97 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CE Europa
49.4%

Draw
27.7%

Penya Independent
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CE Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Penya Independent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

CE Europa - Penya Independent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Europa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Penya Independent is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Penya Independent could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Europa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Europa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.09.23	Andratx - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	CE Europa - Sant Andreu	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Torrent - CE Europa	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	CE Europa - Formentera	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	CE Europa - Terrassa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWL
- SE Penya Independent
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.09.23	San Juan - Penya Independent	3:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.09.23	Penya Independent - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	Valencia B - Penya Independent	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Andratx - Penya Independent	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Penya Independent - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTTL

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