Match Info

SENEGAL: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 9

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	CNEPS Excellence		Gorée

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.5	2.6
	3	2.55	2.65
	3.01	2.56	2.62
	3.08	2.56	2.61	Watch
	3	2.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.68)	2.54 ↓ (2.63)	2.63 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CNEPS Excellence
30%

Draw
35.5%

Gorée
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

34.5%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

33.9%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CNEPS Excellence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CNEPS Excellence's performance.

Gorée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gorée might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CNEPS Excellence than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CNEPS Excellence that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gorée could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Excellence is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gorée is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Excellence could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Excellence won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Excellence won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CNEPS Excellence
Senegal Ligue 1
07.12.22	Génération Foot - CNEPS Excellence	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Guédiawaye - CNEPS Excellence	3:0 ✺
19.11.22	CNEPS Excellence - Douanes Senegal	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	CNEPS Excellence - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Jaraaf - CNEPS Excellence	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- US Gorée
Senegal Ligue 1
07.12.22	Gorée - Douanes Senegal	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Gorée - Stade de Mbour	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Jaraaf - Gorée	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Gorée - Teungueth	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Casa Sport - Gorée	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
20.03.22	CNEPS Excellence - Gorée	0:2
21.11.21	Gorée - CNEPS Excellence	1:1
24.05.21	Gorée - CNEPS Excellence	1:1

CNEPS Excellence - Gorée: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide