Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	CRECK Sporting		Mitundu Baptist

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.80	3.10
	2.50	2.75	2.75
	2.18	2.86	3.31
	2.18	3	3.31
	2.15	2.80	3.25
	2.37	2.98	3.09
	2.51	2.83	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.6)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)	3.08 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRECK Sporting
39.1%

Draw
31.6%

Mitundu Baptist
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

32.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRECK Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Mitundu Baptist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRECK Sporting than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitundu Baptist than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

CRECK Sporting - Mitundu Baptist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Mtondera R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

CRECK Sporting has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Mitundu Baptist has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Mitundu Baptist	15	5	5	5	12:13	-1	20
16	Creck Sporting	15	2	4	9	11:20	-9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRECK Sporting Club
Malawi Premier Division
04.07.26	Big Bullets - CRECK Sporting	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	CRECK Sporting - Civo United	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Masters FC - CRECK Sporting	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	CRECK Sporting - Blue Eagles	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Moyale Barracks - CRECK Sporting	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWLL
- Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Premier Division
05.07.26	Mitundu Baptist - Ekhaya	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Mitundu Baptist - Blue Eagles	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Moyale Barracks - Mitundu Baptist	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mitundu Baptist - Civo United	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Red Lions - Mitundu Baptist	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWLWL

CRECK Sporting - Mitundu Baptist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide