Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Daniel Prodan Stadium (Satu Mare)


	CSM Satu Mare		Afumaţi

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.40	3.55	1.86
	3.03	3.32	2.17
	3.13	3.36	2.13	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.14
	3.27	3.18	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.85)	3.34 ↓ (3.48)	2.06 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSM Satu Mare
28.7%

Draw
27.1%

Afumaţi
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.1%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSM Satu Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSM Satu Mare's performance.

Afumaţi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afumaţi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSM Satu Mare than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSM Satu Mare that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afumaţi than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afumaţi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

CSM Satu Mare - Afumaţi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Afumaţi will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Afumaţi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Mutiu V. (G) 2. Ardei C. 86. Botogan A. 8. Copaci P. (C) 11. Golda D. 5. Jorza A. 25. Kereki M. 6. Marin M. 99. Matei C. 91. Panos M. 27. Vida K.	1. Dumitrescu D. (G) 4. Diomande M. 7. Enache A. 21. Gallo V. 3. Lazar A. 26. McCarthy C. 11. Mihoreanu G. 25. Raicu A. 17. Robicek C. (C) 9. Sanogo M. 10. Zaina I.
Substitutes
14. Ardeiu V. 21. Carpa G. 29. Danila E. 10. Draghiceanu M. 17. Feher L. 9. Jurj S. 24. Mwanga J. 30. Pop I. (G) 7. Zamfir C.	12. Cimpoesu A. (G) 20. Ghinet V. 15. Lis L. 14. Marica V. 2. Paun A. 8. Sacara M. 6. Sersescu C. 24. Stancu D. 30. Strizu P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Enache A. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Gallo V. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 19th in the Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 11th in the Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

CSM Satu Mare is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Afumaţi has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Afumaţi holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, CSM Satu Mare has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for CSM Satu Mare against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Afumati	8	4	2	2	12:12	0	14
20	CSM Satu Mare	8	0	4	4	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Satu Mare
Romanian Division 2
12.09.26	Metaloglobus Bucureşti - CSM Satu Mare	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	CSM Satu Mare - Politehnica Timișoara	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Gloria Bistrița - CSM Satu Mare	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	CSM Satu Mare - Bihor Oradea	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Cetatea Suceava - CSM Satu Mare	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTLTL
- CS Afumaţi
Romanian Division 2
12.09.26	Afumaţi - ASA Târgu Mureș	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Concordia Chiajna - Afumaţi	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Afumaţi - Unirea Slobozia	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Viitorul Șelimbăr - Afumaţi	1:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
19.08.26	Afumaţi - Voluntari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Division 2
25.04.26	Afumaţi - CSM Satu Mare	1:3
13.12.25	CSM Satu Mare - Afumaţi	2:1

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