Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 8

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday


	Cabofriense		Petrópolis

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
				Watch
	1.91	3.08	3.98
	1.91	3.08	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.04)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.9 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cabofriense
47.3%

Draw
29.6%

Petrópolis
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

30%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cabofriense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cabofriense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Cabofriense - Petrópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cabofriense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cabofriense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cabofriense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cabofriense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cabofriense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.25	Resende - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	São Gonçalo - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
05.06.25	Cabofriense - Pérolas Negras	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Cabofriense	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Cabofriense - Araruama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTT
- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.06.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
04.06.25	Petrópolis - Araruama	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	America RJ - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Petrópolis - Olaria	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
06.07.24	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	0:0
17.06.23	Petrópolis - Cabofriense	1:0
22.06.22	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	1:2
20.06.21	Petrópolis - Cabofriense	1:0

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