Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex (Moreton Bay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Caboolture Sports		St. George Willawong

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.35	4.55
	1.53	4.61	4.85
	1.55	4.61	4.85	Watch
	1.57	4.38	4.95
	1.78	4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.78)	4.39 ↑ (4)	4.53 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caboolture Sports
58.4%

Draw
21.1%

St. George Willawong
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

22.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

19.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caboolture Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caboolture Sports's performance.

St. George Willawong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. George Willawong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caboolture Sports than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caboolture Sports that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. George Willawong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caboolture Sports - St. George Willawong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Caboolture is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caboolture won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Caboolture won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caboolture Sports
Australian Queensland Premier League
11.04.26	Caboolture Sports - Broadbeach United	2:3 ✺
27.03.26	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Caboolture Sports	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Brisbane Strikers - Caboolture Sports	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Caboolture Sports - Logan Lightning	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ipswich FC - Caboolture Sports	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTL
- St. George Willawong
Australian Queensland Premier League
11.04.26	Robina City - St. George Willawong	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	St. George Willawong - Capalaba	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	North Star - St. George Willawong	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	St. George Willawong - Holland Park Hawks	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Redlands United - St. George Willawong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
06.07.24	Caboolture Sports - St. George Willawong	2:3
Australian Brisbane Premier League
12.09.20	Caboolture Sports - St. George Willawong	1:4

Caboolture Sports - St. George Willawong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide