The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cacahuatique 39.8%
Draw 29.3%
Municipal Limeño 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
27.8%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
26.8%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Cacahuatique - Municipal Limeño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Hernandez M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Ramos M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+10', 1 - 3, Valladares J. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cacahuatique won 2.
Recent performances by Cacahuatique have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Municipal Limeño has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cacahuatique may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cacahuatique has had a series of home games.
Cacahuatique could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cacahuatique won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cacahuatique won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).