Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 13

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Cala Pozuelo		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.75
	4.1	3.4	1.77
	4.5	3.45	1.64
				Watch
	4.28	3.48	1.73
	4.1	3.4	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (4.09)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	1.73 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cala Pozuelo
21.5%

Draw
26.5%

Alcalá
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.7%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

26.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cala Pozuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cala Pozuelo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Cala Pozuelo - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Portero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, Arribas J. ⚽,
81', 0 - 3, Izan ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 4, Lopez M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Cala Pozuelo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcalá is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cala Pozuelo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcalá is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cala Pozuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.11.24	Aravaca - Cala Pozuelo	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	México - Cala Pozuelo	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Cala Pozuelo - Leganés B	3:3 ✺
27.10.24	Parla - Cala Pozuelo	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cala Pozuelo - Tres Cantos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTTL
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.11.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Alcalá - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Alcalá - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	El Álamo - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

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