Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Calahorra		Eibar B

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.55	2.8	2.9
	2.58	2.79	2.96
	2.58	2.78	2.93	Watch
	2.51	2.94	2.85
	2.55	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (4.86)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)	2.89 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calahorra
35.9%

Draw
32.6%

Eibar B
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

29.3%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

28.9%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calahorra's performance.

Eibar B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eibar B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calahorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar B than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eibar B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Calahorra - Eibar B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Galarza A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Losa J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 2 - 1, Salinas A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Calahorra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eibar B is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Calahorra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calahorra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.12.24	Tudelano - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Calahorra - Ejea	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Izarra - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Calahorra - Gernika	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	UD Logroñés - Calahorra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTTL
- SD Eibar B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.11.24	Eibar B - Utebo	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Teruel - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Tudelano - Eibar B	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Eibar B - Ejea	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Izarra - Eibar B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWWW

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