Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Calahorra B		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	2.89	3.12	2.12
	3.12	3.15	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.4)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.15 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calahorra B
29.9%

Draw
28.6%

UD Logroñés Promesas
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.1%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calahorra B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calahorra B's form might have worsened.

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD Logroñés Promesas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra B than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calahorra B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Logroñés Promesas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Calahorra B is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches UD Logroñés Promesas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UD Logroñés Promesas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Calahorra B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Calahorra B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calahorra B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.02.24	Oyonesa - Calahorra B	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Calahorra B - Comillas	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Berceo - Calahorra B	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Casalarreina - Calahorra B	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Calahorra B - River Ebro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWT
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.02.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Tedeón	4:1 ✺
04.02.24	Peña Balsamaiso - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Vianés	4:0 ✺
21.01.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.10.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Calahorra B	1:1
06.03.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Calahorra B	0:2
23.12.20	Calahorra B - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0
01.11.19	UD Logroñés Promesas - Calahorra B	2:1

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