Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Calamocha		Casetas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.56	3.51	6.22
	1.12	7.61	18.17	Watch
	1.57	3.66	6.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	4.55 ↑ (3.6)	9.04 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamocha
67.6%

Draw
21.6%

Casetas
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

24.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calamocha's performance.

Casetas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calamocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casetas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Calamocha - Casetas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Calamocha has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Casetas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Casetas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Calamocha is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Calamocha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
02.11.25	Zuera - Calamocha	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Calamocha - La Almunia	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Épila - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Calamocha - Belchite	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Andorra CF - Calamocha	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL
- UD Casetas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
02.11.25	Casetas - Huesca B	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Cuarte - Casetas	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Casetas - Illueca	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Casetas - Robres	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Zuera - Casetas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
06.01.19	Casetas - Calamocha	0:3

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