Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Caldense		Internacional de Limeira

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	2.75
	2.75	2.65	2.65
	2.55	2.8	2.6
	2.71	2.68	2.7
	2.62	2.7	2.62
	2.75	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.79)	2.76 ↓ (3.19)	2.65 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldense
33.7%

Draw
32.5%

Internacional de Limeira
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

30.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldense's form might have worsened.

Internacional de Limeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional de Limeira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional de Limeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Caldense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Inter de Limeira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caldense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Inter de Limeira have a series of guest games.

Inter de Limeira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caldense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
03.04.22	Athletic Club - Caldense	1:0 penalties ✺
30.03.22	Caldense - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Atlético Mineiro - Caldense	3:0 ✺
23.03.22	Caldense - Atlético Mineiro	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Atlético Mineiro - Caldense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.03.22	Botafogo SP - Internacional de Limeira	3:0 ✺
25.03.22	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 penalties ✺
19.03.22	Santo André - Internacional de Limeira	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Internacional de Limeira - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.01.19	Internacional de Limeira - Caldense	1:0

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