Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Complexo Desportivo da Camacha (Camacha)


	Camacha		Mirandela

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.05	3.7
	1.91	3.27	3.77	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.75
	1.86	3.35	4.12
	1.88	3.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (3)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.8 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
47.6%

Draw
28.6%

Mirandela
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camacha's performance.

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirandela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camacha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Camacha - Mirandela Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Camacha will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Camacha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent form of Camacha has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mirandela has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Camacha has had a series of away games.

Mirandela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Camacha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Camacha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.01.26	Ribeira Brava - Camacha	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Celoricense - Camacha	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Bragança - Camacha	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Machico - Camacha	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Camacha - Vianense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLTT
- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.01.26	Mirandela - Machico	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandela - Brito	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	São Martinho - Mirandela	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Mirandela - Vianense	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Tirsense - Mirandela	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.08.25	Mirandela - Camacha	1:0
17.03.24	Mirandela - Camacha	2:3
03.12.23	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0

Camacha - Mirandela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide