Match Info

CUBA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Camaguey		Cienfuegos

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.55	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)	4.55 ↑ (4)	8.6 ↑ (8.3)

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Camaguey
69.4%

Draw
20%

Cienfuegos
10.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.3%

22.7%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

12.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camaguey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Cienfuegos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camaguey than the current prediction. (-31.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camaguey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienfuegos than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienfuegos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 4 and 7).

Recent matches Camaguey is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cienfuegos has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Camaguey could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Camaguey is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Camaguey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Camaguey
Cuba Liga Nacional
19.11.22	Villa Clara - Camaguey	3:2 ✺
16.11.22	Camaguey - Las Tunas	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Camaguey - Santiago de Cuba	1:2 ✺
02.11.22	Artemisa - Camaguey	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Camaguey - Guantánamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- FC Cienfuegos
Cuba Liga Nacional
19.11.22	Cienfuegos - Santiago de Cuba	0:3 ✺
16.11.22	Cienfuegos - Villa Clara	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Cienfuegos - Artemisa	1:3 ✺
05.11.22	Las Tunas - Cienfuegos	2:1 ✺
02.11.22	Guantánamo - Cienfuegos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Cuba Liga Nacional
22.10.22	Cienfuegos - Camaguey	0:1

Camaguey - Cienfuegos