The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Campodarsego 33.6%
Draw 30.3%
Union Clodiense 36%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
29.6%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
30.4%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Campodarsego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Union Clodiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campodarsego than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Campodarsego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Clodiense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Campodarsego - Union Clodiense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Zanini S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Mosti L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group C Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Campodarsego won 0.
Campodarsego is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Clodiense have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Campodarsego may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Campodarsego has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:15 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Campodarsego against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Union Clodiense
9
5
2
2
15:12
3
17
6
Campodarsego
9
4
2
3
17:15
2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Campodarsego - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.