Match Info

Carioca C - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Campos		Cardoso Moreira

	1	X	2
	2.96	3.24	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.12
	2.99	3.51	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.04)	3.32 ↓ (3.6)	2.18 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campos
30.8%

Draw
27.4%

Cardoso Moreira
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

26.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Campos's form might have worsened.

Cardoso Moreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardoso Moreira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campos than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Campos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardoso Moreira than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardoso Moreira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Campos - Cardoso Moreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Campos will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cardoso Moreira will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
69', 0 - 1, Davi Freitas ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Adriano ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-4.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Campos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cardoso Moreira is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Campos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campos AA
Brazilian Carioca C
19.07.26	Cardoso Moreira - Campos	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Tigres do Brasil - Campos	0:0 ✺
06.07.26	Campos - Tigres do Brasil	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	União Central - Campos	1:0 ✺
30.06.26	Campos - Uni Souza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLW
- Cardoso Moreira FC
Brazilian Carioca C
19.07.26	Cardoso Moreira - Campos	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Cardoso Moreira - Magé Bréscia	0:0 ✺
06.07.26	Magé Bréscia - Cardoso Moreira	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Barra Mansa - Cardoso Moreira	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	Cardoso Moreira - Independente RJ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca C
19.07.26	Cardoso Moreira - Campos	4:1

Campos - Cardoso Moreira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide