Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer, RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 4
China	ZhiBo8
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland, Viaplay


	Canada		Iceland

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.55	3.95	5.9
	1.55	4.13	5.89
	1.50	4.32	6.06	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.5
	1.6	4.26	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	4.09 ↑ (4.08)	5.81 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada
60.9%

Draw
23%

Iceland
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

23%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Iceland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Canada - Iceland Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Canada (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Canada will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. St.Clair D. (G) Inter Miami 22. Laryea R. Toronto FC 4. Miller K. Portland Timbers 5. Waterman J. Chicago Fire 23. Sigur N. Hajduk Split 17. Buchanan T. Villarreal 6. Choiniere M. Los Angeles FC 19. Saliba N. Anderlecht 20. Ahmed A. Norwich 7. David J. (C) Juventus 9. Larin C. Southampton	1. Olafsson E. (G) Midtjylland 4. Palsson V. Horsens 5. Ingason S. I. Panathinaikos 23. Magnusson H. Levadiakos 19. Ellertsson M. E. Genoa 11. Thorsteinsson J. Brann 9. Oskarsson O. (C) Real Sociedad 8. Johannesson I. 1. FC Koln 20. Hlynsson K. Twente 7. Haraldsson H. Lille 22. Willumsson B. Groningen
Substitutes
13. Cornelius D. Rangers 86. Crepeau M. (G) Orlando City 15. De Fougerolles L. Dender 88. Flores M. Tigres UANL 99. Goodman O. (G) Barnsley 10. Hoilett J. Swindon 97. Jebbison D. Preston 8. Kone I. Sassuolo 2. Marshall-Rutty J. New York Red Bulls 94. Millar L. Hull City 12. Oluwaseyi T. Villarreal 92. Osorio J. Toronto FC 91. Pepple A. Plymouth 90. Priso R. Vancouver Whitecaps 89. Russell-Rowe J. Toulouse	18. Anderson M. Djurgarden 6. Baldursson A. F. Kasimpasa 13. Einarsson A. (G) Breidablik 17. Gunnarsson A. Al-Gharafa 3. Hermannsson H. Volos 14. Ingason K. M. Brann 21. Sigurdsson A. Malmo FF 10. Sigurdsson G. Vikingur Reykjavik 16. Thordarson S. T. Hannover 15. Thorhallsson D. CF Montreal 2. Tomasson L. Samsunspor 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) Brentford
Coaches
Marsch J.	Gunnlaugsson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Oskarsson O. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Ellertsson M. E. (A),
35', Thorsteinsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Ahmed A. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
63', Larin C. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, David J. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Hlynsson K. ↓, Ingason K. M. ↑,
68', Oskarsson O. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
75', Miller K. ↓, Cornelius D. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, David J. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
76', Johannesson I. ↓, Baldursson A. F. ↑,
80', Anderson M. 🟨,
80', Buchanan T. 🟥,
86', Saliba N. ↓, Priso R. ↑,
86', David J. ↓, Millar L. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Canada is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Canada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada
Friendly
18.11.25	Canada - Venezuela	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Canada - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
14.10.25	Canada - Colombia	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	Canada - Australia	0:1 ✺
09.09.25	Wales - Canada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTLW
- Iceland
Friendly
25.02.26	Mexico - Iceland	4:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Ukraine - Iceland	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Azerbaijan - Iceland	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Iceland - France	2:2 ✺
10.10.25	Iceland - Ukraine	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
15.01.20	Canada - Iceland	0:1
19.01.15	Iceland - Canada	1:1
16.01.15	Canada - Iceland	1:2

Canada - Iceland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide