Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, OneSoccer, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5
China	ZhiBo8


	Canada		Australia

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	4.2
	1.78	3.7	4.15
	1.86	3.78	4.24
	1.70	3.70	4.44	Watch
	1.88	3.7	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.97)	3.72 ↑ (3.37)	4.32 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Canada
52.6%

Draw
25.5%

Australia
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Canada - Australia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Australia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canada: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Canada (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Australia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Crepeau M. (G) Portland Timbers 23. Sigur N. Hajduk Split 5. Waterman J. Chicago Fire 13. Cornelius D. Rangers 22. Laryea R. Toronto FC 17. Buchanan T. Villarreal 8. Kone I. Sassuolo 19. Saliba N. Anderlecht 20. Ahmed A. Vancouver Whitecaps 10. David J. (C) Juventus 9. Larin C. Feyenoord	12. Izzo P. (G) Randers FC 20. Italiano J. Grazer AK 23. Circati A. (C) Parma 2. Degenek M. TSC Backa Topola 21. Burgess C. Swansea 4. Rowles K. DC United 8. Metcalfe C. St. Pauli 13. O'Neill A. New York City 16. Balard M. NAC Breda 14. Irankunda N. Watford 9. Toure M. Randers FC
Substitutes
3. Bassong Z. Sporting Kansas City 6. Choiniere M. Los Angeles FC 24. David P. Royale Union SG 15. De Fougerolles L. Dender 7. Eustaquio S. FC Porto . Gavran L. (G) Toronto FC . Millar L. Hull City 4. Miller K. Portland Timbers 25. Nelson J. Vancouver Whitecaps 12. Oluwaseyi T. Villarreal 21. Osorio J. Toronto FC 14. Shaffelburg J. Nashville SC 1. St.Clair D. (G) Minnesota United	11. Arzani D. Ferencvaros 5. Bos J. Feyenoord 6. Boyle M. Hibernian 17. Devlin C. Hearts 15. Duke M. Machida Zelvia 18. Gauci J. (G) Port Vale 22. Geria J. Albirex Niigata 10. Hrustic A. Heracles 25. Matthews H. Portsmouth 3. Miller L. Blackburn 1. Ryan M. (G) Levante 19. Yazbek P. Nashville SC
Coaches
Marsch J.	Popovic T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Cornelius D. 🟨,
41', Toure M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Italiano J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
57', Rowles K. ↓, Bos J. ↑,
58', Balard M. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
63', Ahmed A. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
63', Larin C. ↓, David P. ↑,
69', Cornelius D. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
69', Saliba N. ↓, Choiniere M. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Irankunda N. ⚽,
73', Toure M. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
77', Buchanan T. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
77', Sigur N. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
83', Metcalfe C. ↓, Boyle M. ↑,
90+1', Laryea R. 🟨,
90+1', O'Neill A. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Irankunda N. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Canada is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Canada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada
Friendly
09.09.25	Wales - Canada	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	Romania - Canada	0:3 ✺
Gold Cup
29.06.25	Canada - Guatemala	1:2 penalties ✺
24.06.25	Canada - Salvador	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Curaçao - Canada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWT
- Australia
Friendly
09.09.25	New Zealand - Australia	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Australia - New Zealand	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Saudi Arabia - Australia	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Australia - Japan	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	China - Australia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
15.10.13	Canada - Australia	0:3

Canada - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide