Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Deakin Stadium (Canberra)


	Canberra Croatia		North Eastern MetroStars

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.75	1.33	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.46
	6.5	4.95	1.36	Watch
	7	5.2	1.36
	5.17	4.49	1.54	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	7.75	5.4	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.27 ↑ (3.6)	4.87 ↑ (4.03)	1.4 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canberra Croatia
14.8%

Draw
19%

North Eastern MetroStars
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canberra Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canberra Croatia's form might have worsened.

North Eastern MetroStars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Eastern MetroStars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Croatia than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canberra Croatia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Eastern MetroStars than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Eastern MetroStars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Canberra Croatia - North Eastern MetroStars Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra Croatia (votes: 3 - 27.3%). MetroStars (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Canberra Croatia (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Canberra Croatia (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - MetroStars (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - MetroStars (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: North Eastern MetroStars will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra Croatia (votes: 5 - 31.3%). MetroStars (votes: 11 - 68.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brown S. (G) 5. Peraic-Cullen J. 4. Grbesa M. 19. Spaseski T. 12. Jadric N. 7. Colbertaldo D. 6. Keir R. (C) 13. Zsuzsa R. 22. Green M. 24. Sparrow D. 9. James T.	1. Oestreich C. (G) 22. Walls J. 5. D'Angelo C. 2. Barr L. 4. McNamara N. 6. Fortunatow J. 11. Woodfin C. 7. Gow H. 17. Visser T. 9. Windsor O. 25. Cittadini M.
Substitutes
23. Matesa J. (G) 10. Pratezina N. 15. Seselja D. 14. Subasic D. 17. Subasic N. 8. Vucetic K.	18. Barbiero F. 3. Czapla L. 50. Dos Santos A. (G) 20. Muhitira L. 23. Nagel S. 12. Porter J. 8. Sotira C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Fortunatow J. ⚽, Visser T. (A),
34', Fortunatow J. ↓, Sotira C. ↑,
36', Spaseski T. 🟨,
38', D'Angelo C. 🟨,
40', James T. 🟨,
40', Visser T. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Gow H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 3, Windsor O. ⚽,
51', Grbesa M. 🟨,
53', Barr L. 🟨,
55', Woodfin C. 🟨,
55', James T. 🟨,
58', 0 - 4, Visser T. ⚽, Gow H. (A),
63', Keir R. ↓, Vucetic K. ↑,
63', Peraic-Cullen J. ↓, Subasic D. ↑,
69', Green M. ↓, Pratezina N. ↑,
70', Woodfin C. ↓, Barbiero F. ↑,
78', Barr L. ↓, Nagel S. ↑,
79', Visser T. ↓, Porter J. ↑,
80', Subasic D. 🟨,
82', Spaseski T. ↓, Subasic N. ↑,
82', Zsuzsa R. ↓, Seselja D. ↑,
86', Cittadini M. ↓, Czapla L. ↑,
86', D'Angelo C. ↓, Muhitira L. ↑,

Preview

Canberra Croatia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

MetroStars is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, MetroStars has had a series of home games.

In this match, MetroStars is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canberra Croatia FC
Australian NPL ACT
26.07.25	OConnor Knights - Canberra Croatia	2:3 ✺
20.07.25	Tuggeranong United - Canberra Croatia	1:7 ✺
12.07.25	Canberra Croatia - Monaro Panthers	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Canberra Croatia - Tigers FC	4:0 ✺
29.06.25	Canberra Croatia - Gungahlin United	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWL
- North Eastern MetroStars
Australian NPL South Australian
26.07.25	North Eastern MetroStars - Modbury Jets	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Playford City Patriots - North Eastern MetroStars	0:3 ✺
05.07.25	North Eastern MetroStars - West Torrens Birkalla	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	North Eastern MetroStars - Adelaide United U23	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	North Eastern MetroStars - FK Beograd	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLTW

Canberra Croatia - North Eastern MetroStars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide