Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Canelas		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5.25
	1.45	4	5.1
	1.53	3.7	5.4
	1.67	3.62	5.73
	1.65	3.54	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.47)	3.65 ↓ (4.08)	5.31 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canelas
57.7%

Draw
25%

Valadares Gaia
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61%

22%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

14%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canelas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valadares Gaia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Canelas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Canelas is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Canelas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Canelas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Canelas 2010
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.02.21	Anadia - Canelas	3:0 ✺
14.02.21	Canelas - Lusitano de Vildemoinhos	1:0 ✺
10.02.21	Canelas - Beira-Mar	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Lusitânia - Canelas	0:0 ✺
31.01.21	Canelas - SC Espinho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWTW
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.02.21	São João de Ver - Valadares Gaia	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Valadares Gaia - Anadia	1:2 ✺
10.02.21	Valadares Gaia - Castro Daire	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Lusitano de Vildemoinhos - Valadares Gaia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.12.20	Valadares Gaia - Canelas	1:1
01.12.19	Valadares Gaia - Canelas	1:2
Taça de Portugal
20.10.19	Valadares Gaia - Canelas	0:1 penalties
08.09.19	Canelas - Valadares Gaia	3:1

Canelas - Valadares Gaia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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