Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Canillas		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.77
	3.75	3.65	1.78
	3.32	3.6	1.84
	3.61	3.76	1.84	Watch
	3.83	3.62	1.78
	3.75	3.65	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (6.17)	3.65 ↓ (4.25)	1.8 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canillas
24.8%

Draw
24.8%

Rayo Vallecano B
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

21.4%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

20.8%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canillas's performance.

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canillas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Ybarra J. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Gaviria A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.24	Leganés B - Canillas	6:1 ✺
01.12.24	Canillas - Tres Cantos	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Carabanchel - Canillas	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Canillas - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Collado Villalba - Canillas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLWT
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Torrejón - Rayo Vallecano B	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Leganés B - Rayo Vallecano B	0:3 ✺
03.11.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.01.24	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0
15.01.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Canillas	1:0
11.09.22	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	3:1
17.03.19	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1

Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide