The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cantolao 40.9%
Draw 26%
Carlos A. Mannucci 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
28.3%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
27.9%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos A. Mannucci's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos A. Mannucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cantolao - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gomez C. (G) 10. Alessandria T. 16. Anicama Lujan J. 7. Carranza L. 3. Crisostomo E. 24. Delgado V. 9. Gutierrez M. 5. Laura A. 15. Olmedo A. (C) 23. Ramos J. 11. Saffadi D.
49. Valladares G. (G) 5. Aguirre J. 14. Alvarez L. 4. Aparicio K. (C) 31. Caballero E. 27. Fernandez R. 10. Munoz J. 22. Rios J. 99. Rodriguez G. 3. Salazar V. 19. Solar A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)
52', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
53', Anicama Lujan J. 🟨,
53', Saffadi D. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Fernandez R. ⚽,
62', Fernandez R. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
62', Rodriguez G. ↓, Portugal B. ↑,
64', Saffadi D. ↓, Oliva G. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Aparicio K. ⚽,
69', Alessandria T. ↓, Villanueva J. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Laura A. ⚽,
70', Aparicio K. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
77', Laura A. ↓, Lara F. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Portugal B. ⚽,
89', Solar A. ↓, Cotito A. ↑,
89', Alvarez L. ↓, Chicoma D. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 4, Portugal B. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cantolao won 2.
Cantolao is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mannucci has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mannucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cantolao might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cantolao won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cantolao won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).