Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Athlone Stadium (Cape Town)


	Cape Town Spurs		Moroka Swallows

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.21	2.99	3.91
	2.22	2.91	3.91
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.07	3.13	3.63	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.46)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.66 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cape Town Spurs
44.2%

Draw
30.4%

Moroka Swallows
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Town Spurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cape Town Spurs's performance.

Moroka Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moroka Swallows might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town Spurs than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cape Town Spurs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moroka Swallows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cape Town Spurs - Moroka Swallows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Boshoff N. (G) 36. Nkwali S. 30. De Goede M. 24. Dortley R. 50. Maphathe K. 33. Butsaka C. (C) 34. Bern L. 40. Michael G. 45. Maduna S. 29. Cupido A. 17. Velebayi A.	16. Akpeyi D. (C) 36. Mphahlele M. 45. Mngonyama K. 50. Nyauza N. 77. Ngqonga N. 80. Mahlonoko A. 8. Phalane L. 28. Sanou R. 10. Mtshali L. 11. Mhango G. 37. Everson J.
Substitutes
37. Baartman L. 10. Buchanan K. 1. Dlamini Z. (G) 42. Gumede T. 41. Jakalashe A. 22. Moosa T. 6. Moroole J. 14. Morton M. 9. Ralani B.	21. Khumalo S. P. 33. Khupe G. 29. Koapeng L. 25. Maponya T. 30. Mbanjwa L. 31. Mbanjwa T. (G) 6. Mthethwa T. 2. Sibiya S. 24. Sibiya V.
Coaches
Middendorp E.	Nyatama M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Ngqonga N. 🟨,
26', Nyauza N. 🟨,
36', Bern L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maduna S. ↓, Ralani B. ↑,
46', Bern L. ↓, Baartman L. ↑,
52', Everson J. 🟨,
61', Ngqonga N. ↓, Khumalo S. P. ↑,
74', Velebayi A. 🟨,
82', Everson J. ↓, Mbanjwa L. ↑,
83', Mahlonoko A. ↓, Khupe G. ↑,
84', Butsaka C. ↓, Moroole J. ↑,
85', Moroole J. 🟨,
88', Mhango G. 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Mhango G. ⚽,
90+1', Dortley R. ↓, Moosa T. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Moroka Swallows have a series of guest games.

Cape Town Spurs will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cape Town Spurs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cape Town Spurs
South African Premier Soccer League
09.03.24	Stellenbosch - Cape Town Spurs	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Orlando Pirates - Cape Town Spurs	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Cape Town Spurs - TS Galaxy	2:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
21.02.24	University of Pretoria - Cape Town Spurs	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
17.02.24	Cape Town Spurs - AmaZulu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.6 TTWLW
- Moroka Swallows
South African Nedbank Cup
13.03.24	University of Pretoria - Moroka Swallows	2:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
09.03.24	Moroka Swallows - Sekhukhune United	1:4 ✺
05.03.24	AmaZulu - Moroka Swallows	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Kaizer Chiefs - Moroka Swallows	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
24.02.24	Platinum City Rovers - Moroka Swallows	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
30.08.23	Moroka Swallows - Cape Town Spurs	3:1

Cape Town Spurs - Moroka Swallows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide