Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 8

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Capital FC		Mixto

	1	X	2
	3	2.85	2.25
	3	3	2.3
	3.12	2.79	2.27
	3.12	2.79	2.28
	3.11	3.08	2.22
	3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	2.92 ↑ (2.82)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capital FC
29.5%

Draw
30.9%

Mixto
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

32.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

31.2%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capital FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital FC than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+1%)

Capital FC - Mixto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Junior M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Capital FC has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mixto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Mixto to win the game is with odds 2.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Capital FC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capital FC
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Mixto - Capital FC	3:0 ✺
01.06.24	Capital FC - Brasiliense	1:4 ✺
26.05.24	Capital FC - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Iporá - Capital FC	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Capital FC - Anápolis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Mixto - Capital FC	3:0 ✺
02.06.24	Iporá - Mixto	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Mixto - Real Brasilia	2:1 ✺
19.05.24	Brasiliense - Mixto	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Mixto - União Rondonópolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Mixto - Capital FC	3:0

Capital FC - Mixto