Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Carabanchel		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3
	2.43	2.87	3.11	Watch
	2.27	3.05	3.03
	2.22	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	3.06 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
40%

Draw
30.3%

Galapagar
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galapagar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carabanchel - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Canene ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Carabanchel - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Madrid - Carabanchel	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Unión Adarve - Carabanchel	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWLT
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.10.25	Galapagar - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Galapagar - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Galapagar - Trival Valderas	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Madrid - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.01.25	Carabanchel - Galapagar	2:0
15.09.24	Galapagar - Carabanchel	1:0
03.04.22	Galapagar - Carabanchel	2:0
05.12.21	Carabanchel - Galapagar	0:2

Carabanchel - Galapagar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide